Risk management for a hydro-based generator

  • Date: 03/08/2007

Michael Savidant (BC Hydro)


University of British Columbia


This talk will cover some of the practical applications of risk
analysis and hedging programs for a hydro-based energy generator such
as BC Hydro. Risk management for BCH provides a unique challenge due to
the significant variability in available energy and prices, and the
ability to defer purchases between years.

We will look at a simplified version of BC Hydro's system optimization
model and methods to determine the risk profile of purchase costs for a
hydro system. We will then discuss methods for developing an optimal
hedge portfolio in order to minimize long-term cost risk, and how these
differ from more common hedge portfolios.

Other Information: 

MITACS Math Finance Seminar 2007